Imirasire y'izuba n'umuyaga bitanga 10% by'amashanyarazi ku isi

Imirasire y'izuba n'umuyaga byikubye kabiri umugabane w'amashanyarazi ku isi kuva 2015 kugeza 2020. Ishusho: Ingufu nziza.

Raporo nshya yavuze ko izuba n’umuyaga byinjije 9.8% by’amashanyarazi ku isi mu mezi atandatu ya mbere ya 2020, ariko hakenewe izindi nyungu niba intego z’amasezerano ya Paris zigomba kuzuzwa.

Ibicuruzwa biva mu masoko yombi y’ingufu zishobora kwiyongera byazamutseho 14% muri H1 2020 ugereranije n’igihe kimwe cya 2019, mu gihe umusaruro w’amakara wagabanutseho 8.3%, nk’uko isesengura ry’ibihugu 48 ryakozwe n’ikigo cy’ibitekerezo cy’ikirere Ember kibitangaza.

Kuva amasezerano y'i Paris yashyirwaho umukono mu 2015, izuba n’umuyaga byikubye inshuro zirenga ebyiri umugabane w’amashanyarazi ku isi, biva kuri 4,6% bigera kuri 9.8%, mu gihe ibihugu byinshi binini byashyizeho urwego rw’inzibacyuho ku masoko ashobora kuvugururwa: Ubushinwa, Ubuyapani na Berezile byose byiyongereye kuva kuri 4% bigera kuri 10%;Amerika yazamutse kuva kuri 6% igera kuri 12%;n'Ubuhinde hafi kwikuba kuva kuri 3.4% kugeza kuri 9.7%.

Inyungu ziza mugihe ibishobora kuvugururwa bifata umugabane wamasoko kuva kubyara amakara.Nk’uko Ember abitangaza ngo kugabanuka kw'amashanyarazi y’amakara byatewe n’uko amashanyarazi yagabanutse ku isi ku gipimo cya 3% bitewe na COVID-19, ndetse n’umuyaga n’izuba bizamuka.Nubwo 70% by'amakara yaguye bishobora guterwa no gukenera amashanyarazi make kubera icyorezo, 30% biterwa n’umuyaga mwinshi n’izuba.

Nkako, anisesengura ryatangajwe ukwezi gushize na EnAppSyshabonetse ibisekuruza bituruka ku mirasire y'izuba yo mu Burayi byageze ku rwego rwo hejuru muri Q2 2020, bitewe n’ikirere cyiza ndetse no kugabanuka kw’amashanyarazi bijyana na COVID-19.Izuba ry’iburayi ryabyaye hafi 47.6TWh mu mezi atatu yarangiye ku ya 30 Kamena, rifasha ibivugururwa gufata umugabane wa 45% by’amashanyarazi yose, bingana n’umugabane munini w’umutungo uwo ariwo wose.

 

Iterambere ridahagije

N'ubwo inzira yihuta kuva mu makara kugera ku muyaga n'izuba mu myaka itanu ishize, iterambere ntirihagije kugira ngo ubushyuhe bw'isi buzamuka kugera kuri dogere 1.5 nk'uko Ember abitangaza.Dave Jones, umusesenguzi mukuru w'amashanyarazi muri Ember, yavuze ko inzibacyuho ikora, ariko ko bitabaho vuba bihagije.

Ati: “Ibihugu byo ku isi ubu biri mu nzira imwe - kubaka umuyaga w’umuyaga n’izuba kugira ngo bisimbuze amashanyarazi ava mu makara y’amashanyarazi na gaze.”Ati: "Ariko kugira ngo amahirwe yo kugabanya imihindagurikire y’ikirere agera kuri dogere 1.5, kubyara amakara bigomba kugabanukaho 13% buri mwaka muri iyi myaka icumi ishize."

Ndetse n’icyorezo cy’icyorezo ku isi, kubyara amakara byagabanutseho 8% gusa mu gice cya mbere cy’umwaka wa 2020. Ibipimo bya dogere 1.5 ya IPCC byerekana ko amakara agomba kugabanuka kugera kuri 6% gusa by’ibisekuruza ku isi mu 2030, bivuye kuri 33% muri H1 2020.

Mu gihe COVID-19 yatumye umusaruro w'amakara ugabanuka, ihungabana ryatewe n'icyorezo bivuze ko gahunda zose zishobora kuvugururwa muri uyu mwaka zizaba hafi 167GW, zikamanuka hafi 13% zoherejwe mu mwaka ushize,nk'uko ikigo mpuzamahanga gishinzwe ingufu kibitangaza(IEA).

Mu Kwakira 2019, IEA yavuze ko muri uyu mwaka hagomba koherezwa ku isi hose 106.4GW y'izuba PV.Nyamara, iyo mibare yagabanutse kugera ku gipimo cya 90GW, hamwe no gutinda kubaka no gutanga amasoko, ingamba zo gufunga hamwe n’ibibazo bivuka mu gutera inkunga imishinga itangiza imishinga itarangiye uyu mwaka.